2025
- Oct 20, 2025 The Challenge of Diversification Oct 20, 2025
- Sep 15, 2025 Total Concentration Sep 15, 2025
- Aug 11, 2025 The Illiquidity Premium Aug 11, 2025
- Jul 22, 2025 When Private Funds Are Publicly Traded Jul 22, 2025
- Jul 9, 2025 The Institutional Cost Mirage Jul 9, 2025
- Jun 30, 2025 2024 Private Equity Fundamentals Jun 30, 2025
- Mar 3, 2025 株主価値最大化の鍵はバランスシートの適正化にあり Mar 3, 2025
- Mar 3, 2025 Unlocking Shareholder Value in Japanese Balance Sheets Mar 3, 2025
- Feb 24, 2025 Skewness and Kurtosis Feb 24, 2025
- Feb 18, 2025 On Foreign Exchange Feb 18, 2025
- Feb 10, 2025 AI and the Mag 7 Feb 10, 2025
- Feb 4, 2025 The Humble Investor (publication day) Feb 4, 2025
- Feb 3, 2025 US Exceptionalism and Changes Abroad Feb 3, 2025
- Jan 27, 2025 Explaining International Valuations Jan 27, 2025
- Jan 21, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance (Part II) Jan 21, 2025
- Jan 13, 2025 2024 in Factors Jan 13, 2025
- Jan 6, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance Jan 6, 2025
2024
- Dec 16, 2024 Persistent Alpha Dec 16, 2024
- Dec 9, 2024 The Humble Investor Dec 9, 2024
- Dec 2, 2024 Thank You Dec 2, 2024
- Nov 18, 2024 Shorting Credit Nov 18, 2024
- Nov 12, 2024 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Forecasts Nov 12, 2024
- Nov 4, 2024 Bloated Balance Sheets in Japan Nov 4, 2024
- Oct 28, 2024 Industry Is Not Destiny Oct 28, 2024
- Oct 21, 2024 The Small Cap Amplifier Oct 21, 2024
- Oct 15, 2024 Buybacks for US, Dividends for EU Oct 15, 2024
- Oct 7, 2024 Human Error Is Predictable Oct 7, 2024
- Sep 30, 2024 Rate Cuts: Bonds Back in Play? Sep 30, 2024
- Sep 23, 2024 Sep 23, 2024
- Sep 16, 2024 Forecastability and Portfolio Optimization Sep 16, 2024
- Sep 9, 2024 Diversifying Equity Portfolios Sep 9, 2024
- Sep 3, 2024 The Great Rotation Sep 3, 2024
- Aug 19, 2024 Activism at Scale in Japan Aug 19, 2024
- Aug 12, 2024 On the Brink? Aug 12, 2024
- Aug 5, 2024 Classifying Economic Regimes Aug 5, 2024
- Jul 29, 2024 Analogous Market Moments Jul 29, 2024
- Jul 22, 2024 The Rise of Alternatives Jul 22, 2024
- Jul 15, 2024 Neglecting Equilibrium Jul 15, 2024
- Jul 8, 2024 The American Liquidity Advantage Jul 8, 2024
- Jun 24, 2024 The Calm Before the Storm Jun 24, 2024
- Jun 17, 2024 The Penny Stock Anomaly Jun 17, 2024
- Jun 10, 2024 A Changing Yield Curve Signal Jun 10, 2024
- Jun 3, 2024 Meme Stonks Revisited Jun 3, 2024
- May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
- May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
- May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
- May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
- Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
- Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
- Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
- Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
- Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
- Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
- Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
- Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
- Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
- Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
- Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
- Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
- Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
- Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
- Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
- Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024
2023
- Dec 18, 2023 The Persistence of Value & Growth Dec 18, 2023
- Dec 11, 2023 The Dispersion Delusion Dec 11, 2023
- Dec 4, 2023 The Quality of New Entrants Dec 4, 2023
- Nov 20, 2023 Thank You Nov 20, 2023
- Nov 13, 2023 The Death of Small Cap Equities? Nov 13, 2023
- Nov 6, 2023 A Rule of Thumb for Terminal Valuation Multiples Nov 6, 2023
- Oct 30, 2023 Beyond Risk Parity Oct 30, 2023
- Oct 23, 2023 Shorting Socialism Oct 23, 2023
- Oct 16, 2023 Where are all the defaults? Oct 16, 2023
- Oct 9, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part II) Oct 9, 2023
- Oct 2, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part I) Oct 2, 2023
- Sep 25, 2023 Asset Class CAPM Sep 25, 2023
- Sep 18, 2023 What Works in Bank Stocks Sep 18, 2023
- Sep 11, 2023 An Update on the Stock-Bond Correlation Sep 11, 2023
- Sep 5, 2023 More Bang for Your Buck Sep 5, 2023
- Aug 7, 2023 The Top 5 Aug 7, 2023
- Jul 31, 2023 Japan in Demand (Sort Of) Jul 31, 2023
- Jul 24, 2023 End of an Era? Jul 24, 2023
- Jul 17, 2023 Q&A on Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 17, 2023
- Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
- Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
- Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
- Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
- Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
- Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
- May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
- May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
- May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
- May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
- May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
- Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
- Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
- Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
- Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
- Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
- Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
- Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
- Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
- Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
- Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
- Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
- Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
- Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
- Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
- Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
- Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
- Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023
2022
- Dec 19, 2022 A Sharper Signal Amid the Noise, Part II: Evidence from Europe Dec 19, 2022
- Dec 12, 2022 A Sharper Signal Amid the Noise Dec 12, 2022
- Dec 5, 2022 Sudden Stops Dec 5, 2022
- Nov 28, 2022 MegaThreats Nov 28, 2022
- Nov 14, 2022 Thank You Nov 14, 2022
- Nov 7, 2022 Persistence of Margins Nov 7, 2022
- Oct 31, 2022 The Impact of OPEC Announcements on Oil Prices Oct 31, 2022
- Oct 24, 2022 Fair Multiples Oct 24, 2022
- Oct 3, 2022 Persistence of Growth Oct 3, 2022
- Sep 26, 2022 Yen: Now and Then Again Sep 26, 2022
- Sep 19, 2022 Do MBAs Want To Be Billionaires? Sep 19, 2022
- Sep 12, 2022 The MBA Indicator Sep 12, 2022
- Sep 7, 2022 How to Invest Sep 7, 2022
- Aug 29, 2022 Abandoning Diversification Aug 29, 2022
- Aug 22, 2022 The Size Factor Aug 22, 2022
- Aug 15, 2022 Emerging Market Cycles Aug 15, 2022
- Aug 8, 2022 Betting Against Expensive Junk Aug 8, 2022
- Aug 1, 2022 Drawdowns and Rallies Aug 1, 2022
- Jul 25, 2022 Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets Jul 25, 2022
- Jul 18, 2022 What to Buy First Redux Jul 18, 2022
- Jul 11, 2022 The Anxious Investor Jul 11, 2022
- Jul 5, 2022 Who Owns Sovereign Debt Jul 5, 2022
- Jun 27, 2022 Short-Term Momentum and Reversals Jun 27, 2022
- Jun 21, 2022 High Yield, High Volatility Jun 21, 2022
- Jun 13, 2022 Accosting Transactions Jun 13, 2022
- Jun 6, 2022 Where the Money Is Jun 6, 2022
- May 31, 2022 Managing Risk When Credit Spreads Rise May 31, 2022
- May 23, 2022 Private Equity: Still Overrated and Overvalued? May 23, 2022
- May 16, 2022 Crisis Investing in Europe May 16, 2022
- May 9, 2022 The Fed & the Bond Market May 9, 2022
- May 3, 2022 EM Crisis Investing, a Deeper Dive May 3, 2022
- Apr 25, 2022 Homeland Securities Apr 25, 2022
- Apr 18, 2022 Confidence Apr 18, 2022
- Apr 11, 2022 Risk-Reward in a Hiking Cycle Apr 11, 2022
- Apr 4, 2022 Inflation & Lost Decades Apr 4, 2022
- Mar 28, 2022 Drivers of Deep Value: International Evidence Mar 28, 2022
- Mar 21, 2022 The Loan Engine Mar 21, 2022
- Mar 14, 2022 Crypto's Confusing New Landscape Mar 14, 2022
- Mar 7, 2022 The Crisis in Turkey Mar 7, 2022
- Feb 28, 2022 Japan's Economic Recovery Feb 28, 2022
- Feb 22, 2022 King Dollar Feb 22, 2022
- Feb 14, 2022 If by Bitcoin Feb 14, 2022
- Feb 7, 2022 The Power Law Feb 7, 2022
- Jan 31, 2022 Bubble Stock Meltdown Jan 31, 2022
- Jan 24, 2022 How to Worry about Duration Jan 24, 2022
- Jan 18, 2022 Japan's Empire Builders Jan 18, 2022
- Jan 10, 2022 The Perfect Portfolio Jan 10, 2022
- Jan 3, 2022 Picking Funds and Indices Jan 3, 2022
2021
- Dec 13, 2021 Investing in Banks Dec 13, 2021
- Dec 6, 2021 Credit-Driven Asset Price Inflation Dec 6, 2021
- Nov 29, 2021 Thank You Nov 29, 2021
- Nov 15, 2021 Flipping the Script on FX Nov 15, 2021
- Nov 15, 2021 Understanding Systematic FX Strategies Nov 15, 2021
- Nov 8, 2021 Whatever Happened to FX? Nov 8, 2021
- Nov 1, 2021 The Great Equalizer Part II: Evidence from Europe Nov 1, 2021
- Oct 25, 2021 Two Sides of the Coin Oct 25, 2021
- Oct 18, 2021 Understanding the Spike in Oil Prices Oct 18, 2021
- Oct 12, 2021 Diversification, Correlation, and the Business Cycle Oct 12, 2021
- Oct 4, 2021 How Does Quality Work? Oct 4, 2021
- Sep 27, 2021 The Efficacy & Cost of Hedging with Options Sep 27, 2021
- Sep 20, 2021 A Macro View of Factors Sep 20, 2021
- Sep 13, 2021 Verdad's Intern Curriculum Sep 13, 2021
- Sep 7, 2021 The Butterfly Effect Sep 7, 2021
- Aug 30, 2021 A Whale of a Tail: The Bank of Japan's ETF Hoard Aug 30, 2021
- Aug 23, 2021 A Whale of a Tail: The Bank of Japan's ETF Hoard Aug 23, 2021
- Aug 16, 2021 Verdad News Aug 16, 2021
- Aug 9, 2021 Are Financial Crises Predictable? Aug 9, 2021
- Aug 2, 2021 What’s the point of hedge funds? Aug 2, 2021
- Jul 26, 2021 Equity Investing in Inflationary Environments Jul 26, 2021
- Jul 19, 2021 Trend Following Jul 19, 2021
- Jul 12, 2021 Cash and Equivalents Jul 12, 2021
- Jun 28, 2021 On Low Treasury Yields Jun 28, 2021
- Jun 21, 2021 Doctor Copper Jun 21, 2021
- Jun 14, 2021 The Golden Constant Jun 14, 2021
- Jun 7, 2021 On Oil Jun 7, 2021
- Jun 1, 2021 Factor Investing in Commodities Jun 1, 2021
- May 24, 2021 The Rise and Fall of Commodity Indices May 24, 2021
- May 17, 2021 The Best Macro Indicator May 17, 2021
- May 10, 2021 Weighting on China May 10, 2021
- May 3, 2021 The Next Decade in European Value May 3, 2021
- Apr 26, 2021 Do Treasurys Still Work? Apr 26, 2021
- Apr 19, 2021 Testing a Countercyclical Approach to Asset Allocation Apr 19, 2021
- Apr 12, 2021 Designing a Countercyclical Strategy Apr 12, 2021
- Apr 5, 2021 Death to the Lost Decade Apr 5, 2021
- Mar 29, 2021 Countercyclical Asset Allocation Mar 29, 2021
- Mar 22, 2021 Inflation, Overvaluation and the Future of Diversification Mar 22, 2021
- Mar 15, 2021 The Economic Recovery in Japan Mar 15, 2021
- Mar 8, 2021 On Inflation Mar 8, 2021
- Mar 1, 2021 A Strategy for Emerging Market Crises Mar 1, 2021
- Feb 22, 2021 Emerging Market Crises Feb 22, 2021
- Feb 15, 2021 Emerging Markets: Slow Growth, High Volatility Feb 15, 2021
- Feb 8, 2021 Emerging Markets Crisis Investing Feb 8, 2021
- Jan 25, 2021 The Grocery Store Puzzle Jan 25, 2021
- Jan 19, 2021 Investing in a Bubble Jan 19, 2021
- Jan 11, 2021 The Irony of Growth Jan 11, 2021
- Jan 4, 2021 Waves in Ship Prices & Investment Jan 4, 2021
2020
- Dec 14, 2020 Capturing Excess Returns from Rating Changes Dec 14, 2020
- Dec 7, 2020 Forecasting Bond Upgrades and Downgrades Dec 7, 2020
- Nov 30, 2020 Beyond Yield Nov 30, 2020
- Nov 9, 2020 Horses for Courses Nov 9, 2020
- Nov 2, 2020 Post-Crisis Returns in Europe Nov 2, 2020
- Oct 26, 2020 The Great Equalizer Oct 26, 2020
- Oct 19, 2020 A Quantitative Look at the Movie Business Oct 19, 2020
- Oct 13, 2020 COVID & Global Valuations Oct 13, 2020
- Oct 5, 2020 FANMAG Envy Oct 5, 2020
- Sep 28, 2020 Sales and Distributions Sep 28, 2020
- Sep 21, 2020 What's in an Equity Return? Sep 21, 2020
- Sep 14, 2020 Why Buffett Bought Japanese Stocks Sep 14, 2020
- Sep 8, 2020 The Blunt Ratio (Part 2) Sep 8, 2020
- Aug 31, 2020 The Blunt Ratio Aug 31, 2020
- Aug 24, 2020 Are Passive ETFs Distorting Prices in Small-Cap Stocks? Aug 24, 2020
- Aug 17, 2020 Post-Reorg Equities Aug 17, 2020
- Aug 10, 2020 Duration as Leverage Aug 10, 2020
- Aug 3, 2020 Discounting, Death, and the Demand for Growth Stocks Aug 3, 2020
- Jul 27, 2020 Stranger Things Jul 27, 2020
- Jul 20, 2020 The Bubble 500 Jul 20, 2020
- Jul 13, 2020 How are Companies Handling the Crisis? Jul 13, 2020
- Jul 6, 2020 Will Deficit Spending Lead to Inflation? Jul 6, 2020
- Jun 29, 2020 Asset Allocation Beyond the Zero Bound Jun 29, 2020
- Jun 22, 2020 Where There Is Room to Run Jun 22, 2020
- Jun 15, 2020 No, It's Not a Good Idea Jun 15, 2020
- Jun 8, 2020 Where the Risks Aren't Jun 8, 2020
- Jun 1, 2020 Tail Risk Hedging Jun 1, 2020
- May 26, 2020 Two Centuries of Innovation and Growth May 26, 2020
- May 18, 2020 When and How to Take Risk in Bonds May 18, 2020
- May 11, 2020 Trend Following in Growth and Value May 11, 2020
- May 4, 2020 An Apology for Small-Cap Value May 4, 2020
- Apr 27, 2020 When Buffett Was a Quant Apr 27, 2020
- Apr 20, 2020 Lend Early and Freely Apr 20, 2020
- Apr 13, 2020 Yesterday's Profits Apr 13, 2020
- Apr 6, 2020 What's Priced In? Apr 6, 2020
- Mar 30, 2020 The Distress Anomaly Mar 30, 2020
- Mar 23, 2020 What to Buy First Mar 23, 2020
- Mar 16, 2020 Making Good Decisions in Uncertain Times Mar 16, 2020
- Mar 9, 2020 Pacific Rift Mar 9, 2020
- Mar 2, 2020 Crisis Investing Part IV: What Works in Stocks Mar 2, 2020
- Feb 24, 2020 Crisis Investing Part III: What Works by Asset Class Feb 24, 2020
- Feb 17, 2020 Crisis Investing Part II: Predictability in Times of Crisis Feb 17, 2020
- Feb 10, 2020 Crisis Investing Part I: How to Maximize Returns During Market Panics Feb 10, 2020
- Feb 3, 2020 The Rise of Private Credit Feb 3, 2020
- Jan 27, 2020 A CCC Opportunity? Jan 27, 2020
- Jan 21, 2020 Wrong for the Right Reasons Jan 21, 2020
- Jan 13, 2020 Right for the Right Reasons? Jan 13, 2020
- Jan 6, 2020 Prosperity Jan 6, 2020
2019
- Dec 16, 2019 A Strange Divergence Dec 16, 2019
- Dec 9, 2019 The Way the World Should Work Dec 9, 2019
- Dec 2, 2019 Europe: Private Equity's Last Stand Dec 2, 2019
- Nov 18, 2019 In Defense of Ratings Agencies Nov 18, 2019
- Nov 11, 2019 Reversals Nov 11, 2019
- Nov 4, 2019 Growth Bankruptcies Nov 4, 2019
- Oct 28, 2019 The Narrative is Priced In Oct 28, 2019
- Oct 21, 2019 Narrative Economics Oct 21, 2019
- Oct 15, 2019 Why Are Some Companies So Expensive? Oct 15, 2019
- Oct 7, 2019 Beyond the S&P 500 Oct 7, 2019
- Sep 30, 2019 Glamorous Passive Investments Sep 30, 2019
- Sep 23, 2019 Is Value Back Sep 23, 2019
- Sep 16, 2019 Private Equity Run Amok Sep 16, 2019
- Sep 9, 2019 Beating the Index in Bonds Sep 9, 2019
- Sep 3, 2019 Risky Banks Sep 3, 2019
- Aug 26, 2019 Contrarian Investing in Commodity Cyclicals Aug 26, 2019
- Aug 19, 2019 The Problem with Asset Allocation Aug 19, 2019
- Aug 12, 2019 The Decline of American Investment Aug 12, 2019
- Aug 5, 2019 The Dollar Carry Trade Aug 5, 2019
- Jul 8, 2019 Fallen Angels Jul 8, 2019
- Jun 10, 2019 Prudent Cold Skew Jun 10, 2019
- Jun 3, 2019 The Signal and the Noise Jun 3, 2019
- May 28, 2019 Does Activism Work? May 28, 2019
- May 20, 2019 Does Factor Investing Work in Bonds? May 20, 2019
- May 13, 2019 A Flight from Safety May 13, 2019
- May 6, 2019 Fool's Yield May 6, 2019
- Apr 8, 2019 When Value is More Valuable Apr 8, 2019
- Apr 1, 2019 The Story of MLPs Apr 1, 2019
- Mar 25, 2019 Factor Investing Works Mar 25, 2019
- Mar 18, 2019 Lessons from Oregon Mar 18, 2019
- Mar 11, 2019 Voting Machines Mar 11, 2019
- Mar 4, 2019 On Being Wrong Mar 4, 2019
- Feb 25, 2019 Making Sense of the Machine Learning Arms Race Feb 25, 2019
- Feb 19, 2019 Why Do Most Active Managers Fail? Feb 19, 2019
- Feb 11, 2019 Not So Great Expectations: Part II Feb 11, 2019
- Feb 4, 2019 Not So Great Expectations: Part I Feb 4, 2019
- Jan 28, 2019 Play the Man, Not the Puck Jan 28, 2019
- Jan 7, 2019 Extrapolation Bias Jan 7, 2019
2018
- Dec 17, 2018 Is CEO Performance Persistent? Dec 17, 2018
- Dec 10, 2018 Do MBAs Make Better CEOs? Dec 10, 2018
- Dec 3, 2018 On Leadership Dec 3, 2018
- Nov 19, 2018 Size Matters, Part III: The Academic Research Nov 19, 2018
- Nov 12, 2018 Size Matters, Part II: Evidence from Europe Nov 12, 2018
- Nov 5, 2018 Size Matters: How Market Structure Favors Small Funds Nov 5, 2018
- Oct 29, 2018 The Story of Yesterday's Winner Oct 29, 2018
- Oct 9, 2018 The Case for International Diversification Oct 9, 2018
- Sep 24, 2018 What Works in Europe Sep 24, 2018
- Sep 17, 2018 Evidence-Based Individual Security Forecasting Sep 17, 2018
- Sep 10, 2018 What Doesn't Matter for Investing in Europe Sep 10, 2018
- Sep 4, 2018 Fears, Facts, and Brexit Sep 4, 2018
- Aug 27, 2018 Beating the S&P 500 Aug 27, 2018
- Aug 20, 2018 Trade Wars and Japanese Equities Aug 20, 2018
- Aug 13, 2018 The Harvard-Yale Endowment Rivalry Aug 13, 2018
- Aug 6, 2018 The Lasting Value of Real Estate Aug 6, 2018
- Jul 30, 2018 The Lure of Venture Capital Jul 30, 2018
- Jul 9, 2018 The Elements of Quantamental Investing Jul 9, 2018
- Jun 25, 2018 Academic Finance Beach Reads Jun 25, 2018
- Jun 18, 2018 What to Expect When Stock Market is Expensive Jun 18, 2018
- Jun 11, 2018 Taking a Long-Term Perspective Jun 11, 2018
- Jun 6, 2018 Global Valuations Jun 6, 2018
- May 29, 2018 Improving our Europe Strategy May 29, 2018
- May 21, 2018 Replicating Our Research in Europe May 21, 2018
- May 14, 2018 How the Weak Win May 14, 2018
- May 7, 2018 In Praise of Short Sellers May 7, 2018
- Apr 30, 2018 The Tribe of Wall Street Apr 30, 2018
- Apr 9, 2018 How to Make Better Forecasts Apr 9, 2018
- Apr 2, 2018 How Do Wars Affect Stock Prices? Apr 2, 2018
- Mar 26, 2018 Credit Default Risk and Leveraged Small Value Equity Returns Mar 26, 2018
- Mar 19, 2018 Interest Rates & Equity Returns Mar 19, 2018
- Mar 5, 2018 Meta-Strategy in Uncertain Environments (Part II: Markets) Mar 5, 2018
- Feb 26, 2018 Meta-Strategy in Uncertain Environments (Part I: Warfare) Feb 26, 2018
- Feb 20, 2018 Japan: The Island Investors Forgot Feb 20, 2018
- Feb 12, 2018 Are Emerging Markets Cheap? Feb 12, 2018
- Feb 5, 2018 Triumph of the Optimists Feb 5, 2018
- Jan 8, 2018 Man + Machine Jan 8, 2018
2017
- Dec 11, 2017 Running of the Japan Bears Dec 11, 2017
- Nov 27, 2017 The Problem with Growth Stocks Nov 27, 2017
- Nov 6, 2017 US Equities are Pricey: How Should Investors Respond? Nov 6, 2017
- Oct 30, 2017 The Limits of Diversification Oct 30, 2017
- Oct 9, 2017 "Phony Happiness" in Private Markets Oct 9, 2017
- Oct 2, 2017 The Siren Call of Japan's Cash Hoarders Oct 2, 2017
- Sep 25, 2017 Amazon and the Importance of Asset Turnover Sep 25, 2017
- Sep 18, 2017 What Drives Stock Prices? Sep 18, 2017
- Sep 11, 2017 The Fed's Modeling Mistakes Sep 11, 2017
- Sep 5, 2017 The Fed's Forecasting Fallacies Sep 5, 2017
- Aug 28, 2017 A Tale of Two Bankruptcy Regimes Aug 28, 2017
- Aug 21, 2017 An Apology for Noise Traders Aug 21, 2017
- Aug 14, 2017 Evidence-Based Active Manager Investing Aug 14, 2017
- Aug 7, 2017 On Passive Investing and the Rise of ETFs Aug 7, 2017
- Jul 31, 2017 M&A is a Seller's Market Jul 31, 2017
- Jul 10, 2017 When LBOs IPO Jul 10, 2017
- Jun 26, 2017 Observations on the Endowment Model Jun 26, 2017
- Jun 19, 2017 Skin in the Game Jun 19, 2017
- Jun 12, 2017 The Piotroski Synthesis Jun 12, 2017
- May 30, 2017 What's Worked in Japan May 30, 2017
- May 15, 2017 Where is High-Yield Risk Today? May 15, 2017
- May 8, 2017 Insurance Float as Permanent Capital May 8, 2017
- May 1, 2017 Making Private Equity Great Again May 1, 2017
- Apr 24, 2017 Why Japan Now Apr 24, 2017
- Apr 10, 2017 The Persistence and Predictability of Growth Apr 10, 2017
- Apr 3, 2017 The Small Cap Growth Lottery Apr 3, 2017
- Mar 27, 2017 The Epistemology of Price Prediction Mar 27, 2017
- Feb 27, 2017 The Undoing Project Feb 27, 2017
- Feb 21, 2017 Crowded Trades & Unconventional Behavior Feb 21, 2017
- Feb 13, 2017 On Tax Reform Feb 13, 2017
- Feb 6, 2017 Sexy Stocks, Not so Sexy Returns Feb 6, 2017
- Jan 30, 2017 Caveat Emptor, Private Equity LPs! Jan 30, 2017
- Jan 23, 2017 What Drives the Value Premium? Surprising News... Jan 23, 2017
- Jan 9, 2017 Betting on Unpredictability Jan 9, 2017
2016
- Dec 12, 2016 An Alternative Approach to Financial Modeling for Individual Companies Dec 12, 2016
- Dec 5, 2016 Why Invest Abroad? Dec 5, 2016
- Nov 28, 2016 Why Do Bad Models Persist? Nov 28, 2016
- Nov 14, 2016 Where are We in the Credit Cycle? Nov 14, 2016
- Nov 7, 2016 The Quest for Yield Nov 7, 2016
- Oct 31, 2016 The Genius of Search Funds Oct 31, 2016
- Oct 24, 2016 Why Most Active Managers Fail Oct 24, 2016
- Oct 10, 2016 On Momentum Oct 10, 2016
- Oct 3, 2016 Explaining Private Equity Returns from the Bottom Up Oct 3, 2016
- Sep 26, 2016 Caveat Emptor - Private Equity Sep 26, 2016
- Sep 19, 2016 Explaining Japanese Leveraged Value Equity Returns Sep 19, 2016
- Sep 12, 2016 Replicating Our Debt Paydown Algorithm in Japan Sep 12, 2016
- Sep 5, 2016 Replicating Leveraged Small Value Equities in Japan Sep 5, 2016
- Aug 29, 2016 Fear & Trembling in Japan Aug 29, 2016
- Aug 15, 2016 On Being Wrong Aug 15, 2016
- Aug 8, 2016 Do as Buffett Does Not as Buffett Says Aug 8, 2016
- Aug 1, 2016 When Debt is more than a Four-Letter Word Aug 1, 2016
- Jul 25, 2016 Why Replicate Private Equity? Jul 25, 2016
- Jul 11, 2016 Can Simple Quantitative Rules Improve the Performance of Fundamental Investors? Jul 11, 2016
- Jun 27, 2016 The Difficult Standard of Predictive Accuracy Jun 27, 2016
- Jun 20, 2016 Sometimes It Pays to Bet against the Experts Jun 20, 2016
- Jun 6, 2016 What Happens in an LBO? Jun 6, 2016
- May 31, 2016 My First Principles May 31, 2016
- May 23, 2016 The Case of Civeo and the Unknown Unknowns May 23, 2016
- May 16, 2016 On Knowability May 16, 2016
- May 9, 2016 Private Equity's Pro-Cyclical Problem May 9, 2016
- May 2, 2016 Investing across the Short-Term Debt Cycle May 2, 2016
- Apr 25, 2016 Should Investors Avoid Melting Ice Cubes? Apr 25, 2016
- Apr 11, 2016 How to Beat Private Equity in the Public Markets Apr 11, 2016
- Apr 4, 2016 Do You Believe PE's Reported Returns? Apr 4, 2016

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